Economists now, on average, predict inflation will be 2.6 per cent this year, up from 2.2 per cent before the election, according to forecast aggregator Consensus Economics, due to the risk that Trump’s biggest policy pledges on immigration, tariffs and tax cuts, and cutting red tape could raise the cost of living.
Unhedged feels only a little reassurance. We thought inflation was all but beaten four months ago, and were wrong; once burnt, and all that. Despite this good report, however you look at it, core inflation is closer to 3 per cent than 2 per cent, and the trend is sideways, not down.
Reports of the demise of US inflation have been greatly exaggerated. Today on the show, Rob Armstrong and Aiden Reiter discuss the continuing high numbers and what the Fed might do about it this year. Also they go long Ohio State and short New Year’s resolutions.
After experience of Biden administration, fighting price rises likely to be political priority over targeting economic growth
Simply sign up to the Global Economy myFT Digest -- delivered directly to your inbox. Central banks around the world are expected to lower borrowing costs as global inflation eases from the multi ...
And almost as expensive due to years of cash flowing in to escape the inflation in neighbouring countries such as Argentina. What’s nicer than an ocean-view apartment to preserve your wealth in real terms?
Another factor that has made fixed income look more attractive is a slowdown in inflation after years of rapidly rising consumer prices. “Inflation moving from a high rate to a low or normal ...
Yields down, stocks up. After government bonds sold off sharply the week before, buyers were back after favourable inflation prints calmed investors’ nerves in the US and UK in the past week. As far as returning to normal it might be as close as we are going to get for some time.
Inflation likely accelerated in December, putting pressure on the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates relatively high.
Corporate earnings are coming in strong. Investors are also seeing the Trump administration take a less aggressive approach to tariffs than some had expected.
The FOMC plans to meet eight times in 2025 to evaluate the state of the economy and adjust policies as needed. At its final meeting of 2024, the Committee lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points,
In a well-trailed move, the Bank of Japan on Friday raised the policy rate by 0.25 percentage points, taking it to 0.5 per cent — its highest level in nearly two decades.