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I am aware that we talk about polls a lot here. I think polls are important and worth talking about, but I acknowledge this can be alienating. One comment I get frequently online is that all these ...
Black voters made up a larger share of the electorate than in 2024, helping to (maybe) flip Mississippi's Senate seat ...
Elliott Morris and David Nir dig into why the polls underestimated Democrats in the 2026 midterms. The miss was real but smaller than many people are claiming (with some incorrectly saying it was the ...
Final early voting records from Texas, Georgia, and now North Carolina show Democrats benefiting from an “engagement gap” ...
I’m popping my head up from paternity leave for a few hours this morning to write this note on a topical new poll that everyone seems to be reading incorrectly. If you get value out of data-driven ...
This newsletter has grown exponentially over the last couple of months, adding over 10,000 free readers and hundreds of paid members. If you are one of the Strength In Numbers OG s, please join me in ...
As of writing, Democrats have won back their majorities in the U.S. House and Senate in a historic thumpin’ for the Republican Party. That Democrats have won both chambers is not a surprise — our ...
Latino voters more than doubled, from 1.5% of early voters to 3.4%, and voters under 30 went from 8% to 11%. And Republicans under 45 cast fewer early ballots than they did in 2022 — even as the total ...
Programming note! Our final podcast before the election is today, Oct. 29, 2026. David and I will take all your questions about the midterms live at 2:00 PM Eastern. Please join us! Paying members can ...