The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

Forbes contributors publish independent expert analyses and insights. Making wealth creation easy, accessible and transparent. A yield curve sheds light on what many people view as the economy's ...

No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...

The 3-Month Treasury Bill’s rate of 5.50% is currently the highest among US treasuries as of June 2023. It was 0% at the beginning of last year. The 3-month rate is currently higher than the 3-year by ...

The US Treasury market is the largest and most liquid government bond market in the world. The shape of the Treasury yield curve provides valuable information about how investors view monetary policy, ...

Yield curves plot bond yields against their maturities, helping predict economic trends. Inverted yield curves suggest potential economic downturns, impacting investment choices. Understanding yield ...

A yield curve reflects the current yields for debt obligations of various terms. An invested yield curve is viewed as an important economic indicator and a possible precursor to a recession. Learn ...

An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...