Discover how biased expectations theory impacts interest rates by incorporating investor preferences and risks, beyond just ...

Treasury yield simulations project 3‑month bills at 1%–2% in 10 years; curves show widening risk premiums, inversion odds and ...

The 2-year/10-year Bund spread closed the week at a positive 0.194%, a change from 0.105% last week. As a result, today’s simulation shows that the maximum probability of a return to negative spreads ...

Adam Hayes, Ph.D., CFA, is a financial writer with 15+ years Wall Street experience as a derivatives trader. Besides his extensive derivative trading expertise, Adam is an expert in economics and ...

Optimization of forward points (the difference between the spot and the forward rate for a currency pair) enables companies to take advantage of these differences, which are driven by the interaction ...