U.S. Recession Probability
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Recently, global investment bank UBS announced that, after crunching some “hard data” from between May and July 2025, there’s a 93% chance of the U.S. entering a recession this year [1].
Megan Cerullo is a New York-based reporter for CBS MoneyWatch covering small business, workplace, health care, consumer spending and personal finance topics. She regularly appears on CBS News 24/7 to discuss her reporting. As tariff uncertainty continues ...
The looming threat of recession has hung over American consumers for what seems like forever, an ongoing economic drama that stretches back to the early pandemic years. The chances of a recession in 2025 currently stand at about 40%, according to a May ...
Given sticky inflation and the slowing jobs market, some economists fear a recession or the possibility of stagflation.
As chatter about a downturn grows, everyday foods are being treated like warning signs. Shoppers point to frozen pizza, spaghetti, and canned goods as proof that wallets are tightening. But economists say the bigger shift shows up in skipped restaurant meals,
During times of economic uncertainty, some social media influencers become deinfluencers and encourage us to spend on less expensive versions of products.
Christian Allred has been a professional writer since 2020. He's written for some of the industry’s top brands and publications, including Rocket Mortgage, PropStream, Propmodo, and CRE Daily. Christian has experience as a ghostwriter for top online ...
The Trump administration is back with a new round of tariffs taking effect in August 2025 that will hit most countries with a 10% rate and about 40 nations with 15%. Canada faces 35% on non-trade agreement goods, while Mexico got a temporary reprieve.